What Is NVR Fair Value?
NVR, Inc. (NVR) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, NVR, Inc. (NVR) has a composite fair value estimate of $4,932.17 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $6,497.57, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 24.1%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$4,932.17
vs. current price of $6,497.57(-24.1%)
How Is NVR Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NVR is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NVR Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$6,032.95
-7.2%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
NVR Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$3,223.03
-50.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$3,609.71
-44.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $6497.57 is 7.2% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.28B | $1.17B |
| Year 2 | $1.30B | $1.09B |
| Year 3 | $1.33B | $1.02B |
| Year 4 | $1.35B | $954.2M |
| Year 5 | $1.38B | $891.8M |
| Year 6 | $1.41B | $833.5M |
| Year 7 | $1.44B | $779.0M |
| Year 8 | $1.47B | $728.0M |
| Year 9 | $1.49B | $680.4M |
| Year 10 | $1.52B | $635.9M |
| Terminal Value | $23.54B | $9.82B |
What Are NVR's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$6,497.57
EPS (TTM)
$417.14
Forward P/E
15.5
Profit Margin
12.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.3B
EBITDA
1.7B
Book Value
$1,279.01
Total Debt
1.1B
What Do Analysts Say About NVR?
Low
$5,664.00
Average
$7,132.00
High
$8,096.00
Upside
+9.8%
NVR Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NVR?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NVR's estimated fair value is $4,932.17. The stock is currently trading at $6,497.57, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is NVR's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NVR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NVR is overvalued. The current price of $6,497.57 is 24.1% above our estimated fair value of $4,932.17.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NVR?
5 analysts cover NVR, Inc. with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $7,132.00, ranging from $5,664.00 to $8,096.00. This implies 9.8% upside from the current price.