What Is NXPI Fair Value?
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) has a composite fair value estimate of $261.48 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $279.01, suggesting the stock is fair value by 6.3%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value4 of 4 models$261.48
vs. current price of $279.01(-6.3%)
How Is NXPI Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NXPI is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NXPI Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$331.40
+18.8%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$68.22
-75.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
NXPI Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$120.26
-56.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$338.90
+21.5%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $279.01 is 18.8% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $3.35B | $2.97B |
| Year 2 | $4.11B | $3.22B |
| Year 3 | $5.05B | $3.51B |
| Year 4 | $6.20B | $3.81B |
| Year 5 | $7.62B | $4.15B |
| Year 6 | $9.35B | $4.51B |
| Year 7 | $11.49B | $4.90B |
| Year 8 | $14.11B | $5.33B |
| Year 9 | $17.32B | $5.80B |
| Year 10 | $21.27B | $6.30B |
| Terminal Value | $209.03B | $61.95B |
What Are NXPI's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$279.01
EPS (TTM)
$10.27
Forward P/E
15.7
Profit Margin
21.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.7B
EBITDA
4.2B
Book Value
$43.25
Total Debt
11.7B
What Do Analysts Say About NXPI?
Low
$200.00
Average
$310.66
High
$400.00
Upside
+11.3%
NXPI Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NXPI?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NXPI's estimated fair value is $261.48. The stock is currently trading at $279.01, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is NXPI's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NXPI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NXPI is fair value. The current price of $279.01 is 6.3% above our estimated fair value of $261.48.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NXPI?
29 analysts cover NXP Semiconductors with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $310.66, ranging from $200.00 to $400.00. This implies 11.3% upside from the current price.