What Is OXY Fair Value?
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Occidental Petroleum (OXY) has a composite fair value estimate of $84.56 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $53.77, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 57.3%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$84.56
vs. current price of $53.77(+57.3%)
How Is OXY Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what OXY is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
OXY Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$121.31
+125.6%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$37.73
-29.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
OXY Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$61.47
+14.3%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$54.33
+1.0%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $53.77 is 125.6% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $3.19B | $3.03B |
| Year 2 | $3.34B | $3.03B |
| Year 3 | $3.51B | $3.03B |
| Year 4 | $3.69B | $3.03B |
| Year 5 | $3.87B | $3.03B |
| Year 6 | $4.07B | $3.03B |
| Year 7 | $4.27B | $3.03B |
| Year 8 | $4.48B | $3.03B |
| Year 9 | $4.71B | $3.03B |
| Year 10 | $4.94B | $3.03B |
| Terminal Value | $202.65B | $124.42B |
What Are OXY's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$53.77
EPS (TTM)
$0.73
Forward P/E
13.9
Profit Margin
22.4%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
3B
EBITDA
10.8B
Book Value
$30.92
Total Debt
16.6B
What Do Analysts Say About OXY?
Low
$55.00
Average
$64.61
High
$75.00
Upside
+20.2%
OXY Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of OXY?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), OXY's estimated fair value is $84.56. The stock is currently trading at $53.77, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is OXY's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is OXY overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, OXY is undervalued. The current price of $53.77 is 57.3% below our estimated fair value of $84.56.
What do Wall Street analysts say about OXY?
23 analysts cover Occidental Petroleum with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $64.61, ranging from $55.00 to $75.00. This implies 20.2% upside from the current price.