What Is PCAR Fair Value?
Paccar (PCAR) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Paccar (PCAR) has a composite fair value estimate of $133.08 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $107.98, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 23.2%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$133.08
vs. current price of $107.98(+23.2%)
How Is PCAR Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what PCAR is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
PCAR Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$180.16
+66.8%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$78.18
-27.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
PCAR Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$71.94
-33.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$116.74
+8.1%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $107.98 is 66.8% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.32B | $2.14B |
| Year 2 | $2.78B | $2.35B |
| Year 3 | $3.32B | $2.59B |
| Year 4 | $3.98B | $2.85B |
| Year 5 | $4.76B | $3.13B |
| Year 6 | $5.69B | $3.45B |
| Year 7 | $6.80B | $3.79B |
| Year 8 | $8.13B | $4.17B |
| Year 9 | $9.73B | $4.59B |
| Year 10 | $11.63B | $5.05B |
| Terminal Value | $192.45B | $83.59B |
What Are PCAR's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$107.98
EPS (TTM)
$4.75
Forward P/E
15.1
Profit Margin
9.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.9B
EBITDA
3.3B
Book Value
$38.61
Total Debt
14.8B
What Do Analysts Say About PCAR?
Low
$107.00
Average
$135.06
High
$162.00
Upside
+25.1%
PCAR Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of PCAR?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), PCAR's estimated fair value is $133.08. The stock is currently trading at $107.98, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is PCAR's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is PCAR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, PCAR is undervalued. The current price of $107.98 is 23.2% below our estimated fair value of $133.08.
What do Wall Street analysts say about PCAR?
16 analysts cover Paccar with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $135.06, ranging from $107.00 to $162.00. This implies 25.1% upside from the current price.