What Is PCAR Fair Value?
Paccar (PCAR) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Paccar (PCAR) has a composite fair value estimate of $107.98 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $123.15, suggesting the stock is fair value by 12.3%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value4 of 4 models$107.98
vs. current price of $123.15(-12.3%)
How Is PCAR Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what PCAR is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
PCAR Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$131.59
+6.9%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$80.94
-34.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
PCAR Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$69.47
-43.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$97.16
-21.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $123.15 is 6.9% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.08B | $1.92B |
| Year 2 | $2.44B | $2.06B |
| Year 3 | $2.85B | $2.22B |
| Year 4 | $3.34B | $2.39B |
| Year 5 | $3.91B | $2.57B |
| Year 6 | $4.57B | $2.76B |
| Year 7 | $5.35B | $2.97B |
| Year 8 | $6.26B | $3.20B |
| Year 9 | $7.32B | $3.44B |
| Year 10 | $8.57B | $3.70B |
| Terminal Value | $140.46B | $60.69B |
What Are PCAR's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$123.15
EPS (TTM)
$4.67
Forward P/E
18.0
Profit Margin
8.9%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.5B
EBITDA
3.2B
Book Value
$37.54
Total Debt
15B
What Do Analysts Say About PCAR?
Low
$109.00
Average
$128.19
High
$155.00
Upside
+4.1%
PCAR Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of PCAR?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), PCAR's estimated fair value is $107.98. The stock is currently trading at $123.15, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is PCAR's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is PCAR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, PCAR is fair value. The current price of $123.15 is 12.3% above our estimated fair value of $107.98.
What do Wall Street analysts say about PCAR?
16 analysts cover Paccar with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $128.19, ranging from $109.00 to $155.00. This implies 4.1% upside from the current price.