What Is PNW Fair Value?
Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) has a composite fair value estimate of $66.95 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $107.07, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 37.5%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$66.95
vs. current price of $107.07(-37.5%)
How Is PNW Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what PNW is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
PNW Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$51.82
-51.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$94.38
-11.9%Fair Value
Inputs used
PNW Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$78.67
-26.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$47.16
-56.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $107.07 is 51.6% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $488.9M | $464.4M |
| Year 2 | $517.0M | $466.4M |
| Year 3 | $546.7M | $468.5M |
| Year 4 | $578.1M | $470.5M |
| Year 5 | $611.2M | $472.5M |
| Year 6 | $646.3M | $474.6M |
| Year 7 | $683.4M | $476.6M |
| Year 8 | $722.7M | $478.7M |
| Year 9 | $764.1M | $480.8M |
| Year 10 | $808.0M | $482.9M |
| Terminal Value | $29.77B | $17.79B |
What Are PNW's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$107.07
EPS (TTM)
$5.27
Forward P/E
19.2
Profit Margin
12.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-831.1M
EBITDA
2.1B
Book Value
$58.33
Total Debt
15.1B
What Do Analysts Say About PNW?
Low
$87.00
Average
$105.93
High
$129.00
Upside
-1.1%
PNW Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of PNW?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), PNW's estimated fair value is $66.95. The stock is currently trading at $107.07, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is PNW's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is PNW overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, PNW is overvalued. The current price of $107.07 is 37.5% above our estimated fair value of $66.95.
What do Wall Street analysts say about PNW?
14 analysts cover Pinnacle West Capital with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $105.93, ranging from $87.00 to $129.00. This implies 1.1% downside from the current price.