What Is RCL Fair Value?
Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 30, 2026, Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) has a composite fair value estimate of $176.18 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $279.41, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 36.9%.
Data as of August 30, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$176.18
vs. current price of $279.41(-36.9%)
How Is RCL Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what RCL is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
RCL Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$175.79
-37.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$72.96
-73.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
RCL Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$123.81
-55.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$247.60
-11.4%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $279.41 is 37.1% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $3.65B | $3.26B |
| Year 2 | $4.15B | $3.32B |
| Year 3 | $4.73B | $3.38B |
| Year 4 | $5.39B | $3.45B |
| Year 5 | $6.14B | $3.51B |
| Year 6 | $6.99B | $3.58B |
| Year 7 | $7.97B | $3.65B |
| Year 8 | $9.07B | $3.71B |
| Year 9 | $10.34B | $3.78B |
| Year 10 | $11.77B | $3.86B |
| Terminal Value | $129.61B | $42.44B |
What Are RCL's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$279.41
EPS (TTM)
$16.18
Forward P/E
13.8
Profit Margin
23.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-1.5B
EBITDA
6.9B
Book Value
$38.27
Total Debt
23.5B
What Do Analysts Say About RCL?
Low
$262.00
Average
$346.92
High
$415.00
Upside
+24.2%
RCL Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of RCL?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), RCL's estimated fair value is $176.18. The stock is currently trading at $279.41, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is RCL's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is RCL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, RCL is overvalued. The current price of $279.41 is 36.9% above our estimated fair value of $176.18.
What do Wall Street analysts say about RCL?
26 analysts cover Royal Caribbean Group with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $346.92, ranging from $262.00 to $415.00. This implies 24.2% upside from the current price.