What Is ROK Fair Value?
Rockwell Automation (ROK) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Rockwell Automation (ROK) has a composite fair value estimate of $236.10 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $432.29, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 45.4%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$236.10
vs. current price of $432.29(-45.4%)
How Is ROK Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what ROK is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
ROK Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$314.31
-27.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$125.36
-71.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
ROK Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$96.80
-77.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$254.72
-41.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $432.29 is 27.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.55B | $1.39B |
| Year 2 | $1.85B | $1.47B |
| Year 3 | $2.21B | $1.57B |
| Year 4 | $2.64B | $1.67B |
| Year 5 | $3.14B | $1.77B |
| Year 6 | $3.75B | $1.89B |
| Year 7 | $4.47B | $2.00B |
| Year 8 | $5.33B | $2.13B |
| Year 9 | $6.36B | $2.27B |
| Year 10 | $7.58B | $2.41B |
| Terminal Value | $80.60B | $25.63B |
What Are ROK's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$432.29
EPS (TTM)
$10.68
Forward P/E
29.0
Profit Margin
13.4%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.3B
EBITDA
2.1B
Book Value
$31.46
Total Debt
3.6B
What Do Analysts Say About ROK?
Low
$282.00
Average
$476.48
High
$550.00
Upside
+10.2%
ROK Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of ROK?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), ROK's estimated fair value is $236.10. The stock is currently trading at $432.29, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is ROK's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is ROK overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, ROK is overvalued. The current price of $432.29 is 45.4% above our estimated fair value of $236.10.
What do Wall Street analysts say about ROK?
25 analysts cover Rockwell Automation with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $476.48, ranging from $282.00 to $550.00. This implies 10.2% upside from the current price.