What Is ROK Fair Value?
Rockwell Automation (ROK) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Rockwell Automation (ROK) has a composite fair value estimate of $182.39 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $461.92, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 60.5%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$182.39
vs. current price of $461.92(-60.5%)
How Is ROK Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what ROK is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
ROK Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$198.42
-57.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$119.95
-74.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
ROK Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$96.32
-79.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$234.47
-49.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $461.92 is 57.0% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.15B | $1.02B |
| Year 2 | $1.36B | $1.08B |
| Year 3 | $1.60B | $1.13B |
| Year 4 | $1.89B | $1.19B |
| Year 5 | $2.23B | $1.25B |
| Year 6 | $2.63B | $1.31B |
| Year 7 | $3.10B | $1.38B |
| Year 8 | $3.66B | $1.45B |
| Year 9 | $4.32B | $1.52B |
| Year 10 | $5.10B | $1.60B |
| Terminal Value | $53.29B | $16.69B |
What Are ROK's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$461.92
EPS (TTM)
$9.47
Forward P/E
31.6
Profit Margin
12.4%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
974.5M
EBITDA
2B
Book Value
$31.65
Total Debt
4.1B
What Do Analysts Say About ROK?
Low
$282.00
Average
$472.61
High
$555.00
Upside
+2.3%
ROK Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of ROK?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), ROK's estimated fair value is $182.39. The stock is currently trading at $461.92, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is ROK's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is ROK overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, ROK is overvalued. The current price of $461.92 is 60.5% above our estimated fair value of $182.39.
What do Wall Street analysts say about ROK?
25 analysts cover Rockwell Automation with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $472.61, ranging from $282.00 to $555.00. This implies 2.3% upside from the current price.