What Is SHW Fair Value?
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Sherwin-Williams (SHW) has a composite fair value estimate of $99.40 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $332.29, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 70.1%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$99.40
vs. current price of $332.29(-70.1%)
How Is SHW Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SHW is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SHW Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$109.89
-66.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$50.22
-84.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
SHW Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$69.09
-79.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$117.39
-64.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $332.29 is 66.9% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.31B | $2.11B |
| Year 2 | $2.49B | $2.07B |
| Year 3 | $2.68B | $2.04B |
| Year 4 | $2.90B | $2.01B |
| Year 5 | $3.12B | $1.98B |
| Year 6 | $3.37B | $1.95B |
| Year 7 | $3.63B | $1.92B |
| Year 8 | $3.92B | $1.89B |
| Year 9 | $4.23B | $1.86B |
| Year 10 | $4.56B | $1.83B |
| Terminal Value | $66.26B | $26.61B |
What Are SHW's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$332.29
EPS (TTM)
$10.53
Forward P/E
25.0
Profit Margin
10.9%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.1B
EBITDA
4.6B
Book Value
$18.07
Total Debt
14.6B
What Do Analysts Say About SHW?
Low
$330.00
Average
$378.90
High
$420.00
Upside
+14.0%
SHW Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SHW?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SHW's estimated fair value is $99.40. The stock is currently trading at $332.29, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is SHW's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SHW overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SHW is overvalued. The current price of $332.29 is 70.1% above our estimated fair value of $99.40.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SHW?
20 analysts cover Sherwin-Williams with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $378.90, ranging from $330.00 to $420.00. This implies 14.0% upside from the current price.