What Is SHW Fair Value?
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Sherwin-Williams (SHW) has a composite fair value estimate of $131.28 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $324.54, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 59.5%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$131.28
vs. current price of $324.54(-59.5%)
How Is SHW Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SHW is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SHW Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$157.54
-51.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
SHW Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$65.93
-79.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$120.95
-62.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $324.54 is 51.5% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.73B | $2.49B |
| Year 2 | $2.97B | $2.48B |
| Year 3 | $3.23B | $2.47B |
| Year 4 | $3.52B | $2.46B |
| Year 5 | $3.83B | $2.44B |
| Year 6 | $4.17B | $2.43B |
| Year 7 | $4.54B | $2.42B |
| Year 8 | $4.95B | $2.41B |
| Year 9 | $5.38B | $2.40B |
| Year 10 | $5.86B | $2.38B |
| Terminal Value | $86.91B | $35.35B |
What Are SHW's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$324.54
EPS (TTM)
$10.85
Forward P/E
24.0
Profit Margin
11.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.5B
EBITDA
4.7B
Book Value
$15.97
Total Debt
15B
What Do Analysts Say About SHW?
Low
$340.00
Average
$383.13
High
$420.00
Upside
+18.1%
SHW Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SHW?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SHW's estimated fair value is $131.28. The stock is currently trading at $324.54, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is SHW's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SHW overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SHW is overvalued. The current price of $324.54 is 59.5% above our estimated fair value of $131.28.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SHW?
24 analysts cover Sherwin-Williams with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $383.13, ranging from $340.00 to $420.00. This implies 18.1% upside from the current price.