What Is SHW Fair Value?
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Sherwin-Williams (SHW) has a composite fair value estimate of $120.84 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $344.86, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 65.0%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$120.84
vs. current price of $344.86(-65.0%)
How Is SHW Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SHW is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SHW Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$159.41
-53.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$56.62
-83.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
SHW Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$65.92
-80.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$120.89
-64.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $344.86 is 53.8% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.74B | $2.50B |
| Year 2 | $2.99B | $2.49B |
| Year 3 | $3.26B | $2.48B |
| Year 4 | $3.56B | $2.48B |
| Year 5 | $3.89B | $2.47B |
| Year 6 | $4.25B | $2.46B |
| Year 7 | $4.64B | $2.46B |
| Year 8 | $5.07B | $2.45B |
| Year 9 | $5.53B | $2.44B |
| Year 10 | $6.04B | $2.44B |
| Terminal Value | $88.32B | $35.60B |
What Are SHW's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$344.86
EPS (TTM)
$10.83
Forward P/E
25.3
Profit Margin
11.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.5B
EBITDA
4.7B
Book Value
$15.97
Total Debt
15B
What Do Analysts Say About SHW?
Low
$340.00
Average
$391.00
High
$420.00
Upside
+13.4%
SHW Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SHW?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SHW's estimated fair value is $120.84. The stock is currently trading at $344.86, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is SHW's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SHW overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SHW is overvalued. The current price of $344.86 is 65.0% above our estimated fair value of $120.84.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SHW?
22 analysts cover Sherwin-Williams with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $391.00, ranging from $340.00 to $420.00. This implies 13.4% upside from the current price.