What Is SJM Fair Value?
J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM) has a composite fair value estimate of $390.50 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $132.34, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 195.1%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$390.50
vs. current price of $132.34(+195.1%)
How Is SJM Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SJM is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SJM Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$699.30
+428.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$327.79
+147.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
SJM Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$110.02
-16.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$103.51
-21.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $132.34 is 428.4% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.59B | $1.52B |
| Year 2 | $1.74B | $1.57B |
| Year 3 | $1.89B | $1.62B |
| Year 4 | $2.06B | $1.68B |
| Year 5 | $2.24B | $1.74B |
| Year 6 | $2.44B | $1.80B |
| Year 7 | $2.66B | $1.86B |
| Year 8 | $2.90B | $1.92B |
| Year 9 | $3.15B | $1.99B |
| Year 10 | $3.43B | $2.06B |
| Terminal Value | $128.38B | $77.03B |
What Are SJM's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$132.34
EPS (TTM)
$2.14
Forward P/E
12.2
Profit Margin
2.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.5B
EBITDA
2.3B
Book Value
$51.98
Total Debt
6.9B
What Do Analysts Say About SJM?
Low
$114.00
Average
$134.25
High
$152.00
Upside
+1.4%
SJM Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SJM?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SJM's estimated fair value is $390.50. The stock is currently trading at $132.34, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is SJM's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SJM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SJM is undervalued. The current price of $132.34 is 195.1% below our estimated fair value of $390.50.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SJM?
16 analysts cover J.M. Smucker Company (The) with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $134.25, ranging from $114.00 to $152.00. This implies 1.4% upside from the current price.