What Is SJM Fair Value?
J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM) has a composite fair value estimate of $278.11 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $109.02, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 155.1%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$278.11
vs. current price of $109.02(+155.1%)
How Is SJM Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SJM is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SJM Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$453.56
+316.0%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$261.99
+140.3%Undervalued
Inputs used
SJM Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$108.16
-0.8%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$100.04
-8.2%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $109.02 is 316.0% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.09B | $1.04B |
| Year 2 | $1.18B | $1.07B |
| Year 3 | $1.27B | $1.10B |
| Year 4 | $1.38B | $1.13B |
| Year 5 | $1.49B | $1.16B |
| Year 6 | $1.62B | $1.20B |
| Year 7 | $1.75B | $1.23B |
| Year 8 | $1.89B | $1.27B |
| Year 9 | $2.05B | $1.30B |
| Year 10 | $2.22B | $1.34B |
| Terminal Value | $86.23B | $52.27B |
What Are SJM's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$109.02
EPS (TTM)
-$1.30
Forward P/E
10.2
Profit Margin
-1.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1B
EBITDA
1.9B
Book Value
$51.98
Total Debt
7.1B
What Do Analysts Say About SJM?
Low
$98.00
Average
$122.31
High
$135.00
Upside
+12.2%
SJM Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SJM?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SJM's estimated fair value is $278.11. The stock is currently trading at $109.02, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is SJM's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SJM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SJM is undervalued. The current price of $109.02 is 155.1% below our estimated fair value of $278.11.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SJM?
16 analysts cover J.M. Smucker Company (The) with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $122.31, ranging from $98.00 to $135.00. This implies 12.2% upside from the current price.