What Is SMCI Fair Value?
Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 1, 2026, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has a composite fair value estimate of $54.16 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $28.40, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 90.7%.
Data as of August 1, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued3 of 4 models$54.16
vs. current price of $28.40(+90.7%)
How Is SMCI Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SMCI is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SMCI Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$47.70
+68.0%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
SMCI Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$28.36
-0.2%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$77.22
+171.9%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $28.40 is 68.0% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $983.3M | $882.5M |
| Year 2 | $1.23B | $990.0M |
| Year 3 | $1.54B | $1.11B |
| Year 4 | $1.92B | $1.25B |
| Year 5 | $2.40B | $1.40B |
| Year 6 | $3.00B | $1.57B |
| Year 7 | $3.75B | $1.76B |
| Year 8 | $4.69B | $1.97B |
| Year 9 | $5.86B | $2.21B |
| Year 10 | $7.33B | $2.48B |
| Terminal Value | $84.14B | $28.52B |
What Are SMCI's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$28.40
EPS (TTM)
$1.90
Forward P/E
8.6
Profit Margin
3.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-7.4B
EBITDA
1.6B
Book Value
$12.60
Total Debt
9.2B
What Do Analysts Say About SMCI?
Low
$15.00
Average
$37.81
High
$58.00
Upside
+33.1%
SMCI Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SMCI?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SMCI's estimated fair value is $54.16. The stock is currently trading at $28.40, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is SMCI's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SMCI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SMCI is undervalued. The current price of $28.40 is 90.7% below our estimated fair value of $54.16.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SMCI?
16 analysts cover Super Micro Computer Inc. with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $37.81, ranging from $15.00 to $58.00. This implies 33.1% upside from the current price.