What Is SMCI Fair Value?
Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 31, 2026, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has a composite fair value estimate of $95.48 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $32.95, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 189.8%.
Data as of October 31, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued3 of 4 models$95.48
vs. current price of $32.95(+189.8%)
How Is SMCI Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SMCI is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SMCI Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$104.07
+215.8%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
SMCI Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$40.49
+22.9%Undervalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$112.74
+242.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $32.95 is 215.8% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.08B | $1.85B |
| Year 2 | $2.58B | $2.05B |
| Year 3 | $3.20B | $2.28B |
| Year 4 | $3.97B | $2.52B |
| Year 5 | $4.93B | $2.80B |
| Year 6 | $6.13B | $3.10B |
| Year 7 | $7.60B | $3.43B |
| Year 8 | $9.44B | $3.80B |
| Year 9 | $11.72B | $4.21B |
| Year 10 | $14.55B | $4.67B |
| Terminal Value | $156.41B | $50.20B |
What Are SMCI's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$32.95
EPS (TTM)
$3.26
Forward P/E
5.9
Profit Margin
5.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-8.2B
EBITDA
2.8B
Book Value
$15.61
Total Debt
9.3B
What Do Analysts Say About SMCI?
Low
$15.00
Average
$43.27
High
$60.00
Upside
+31.3%
SMCI Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SMCI?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SMCI's estimated fair value is $95.48. The stock is currently trading at $32.95, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is SMCI's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SMCI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SMCI is undervalued. The current price of $32.95 is 189.8% below our estimated fair value of $95.48.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SMCI?
15 analysts cover Super Micro Computer Inc. with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $43.27, ranging from $15.00 to $60.00. This implies 31.3% upside from the current price.