What Is SPCX Fair Value?
Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SPCX) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 31, 2026, Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SPCX) has a composite fair value estimate of $66.80 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $134.72, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 50.4%.
Data as of October 31, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$66.80
vs. current price of $134.72(-50.4%)
How Is SPCX Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SPCX is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SPCX Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$124.26
-7.8%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
SPCX Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$8.91
-93.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$13.54
-90.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $134.72 is 7.8% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $19.70B | $17.95B |
| Year 2 | $24.63B | $20.43B |
| Year 3 | $30.79B | $23.26B |
| Year 4 | $38.48B | $26.48B |
| Year 5 | $48.10B | $30.15B |
| Year 6 | $60.13B | $34.32B |
| Year 7 | $75.16B | $39.08B |
| Year 8 | $93.95B | $44.49B |
| Year 9 | $117.44B | $50.65B |
| Year 10 | $146.80B | $57.67B |
| Terminal Value | $2.06T | $810.42B |
What Are SPCX's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$134.72
EPS (TTM)
$0.23
Forward P/E
56.9
Profit Margin
-8.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
0
EBITDA
11.7B
Book Value
$13.02
Total Debt
39.2B
What Do Analysts Say About SPCX?
Low
$70.00
Average
$257.11
High
$800.00
Upside
+90.9%
SPCX Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SPCX?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SPCX's estimated fair value is $66.80. The stock is currently trading at $134.72, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is SPCX's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SPCX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SPCX is overvalued. The current price of $134.72 is 50.4% above our estimated fair value of $66.80.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SPCX?
36 analysts cover Space Exploration Technologies Corp with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $257.11, ranging from $70.00 to $800.00. This implies 90.9% upside from the current price.