What Is SPCX Fair Value?
Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SPCX) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of September 15, 2026, Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SPCX) has a composite fair value estimate of $44.86 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $143.49, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 68.7%.
Data as of September 15, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$44.86
vs. current price of $143.49(-68.7%)
How Is SPCX Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SPCX is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SPCX Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$88.31
-38.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
SPCX Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$3.78
-97.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$3.29
-97.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $143.49 is 38.5% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $12.38B | $11.27B |
| Year 2 | $15.47B | $12.83B |
| Year 3 | $19.34B | $14.61B |
| Year 4 | $24.17B | $16.64B |
| Year 5 | $30.21B | $18.94B |
| Year 6 | $37.77B | $21.57B |
| Year 7 | $47.21B | $24.56B |
| Year 8 | $59.01B | $27.96B |
| Year 9 | $73.76B | $31.83B |
| Year 10 | $92.20B | $36.24B |
| Terminal Value | $1.30T | $509.84B |
What Are SPCX's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$143.49
EPS (TTM)
-$1.10
Forward P/E
82.3
Profit Margin
-35.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
0
EBITDA
5.9B
Book Value
$9.66
Total Debt
39.7B
What Do Analysts Say About SPCX?
Low
$140.00
Average
$222.42
High
$450.00
Upside
+55.0%
SPCX Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SPCX?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SPCX's estimated fair value is $44.86. The stock is currently trading at $143.49, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is SPCX's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SPCX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SPCX is overvalued. The current price of $143.49 is 68.7% above our estimated fair value of $44.86.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SPCX?
19 analysts cover Space Exploration Technologies Corp with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $222.42, ranging from $140.00 to $450.00. This implies 55.0% upside from the current price.