What Is STLD Fair Value?
Steel Dynamics (STLD) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Steel Dynamics (STLD) has a composite fair value estimate of $134.80 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $234.67, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 42.6%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$134.80
vs. current price of $234.67(-42.6%)
How Is STLD Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what STLD is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
STLD Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$92.04
-60.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$33.61
-85.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
STLD Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$157.68
-32.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$209.75
-10.6%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $234.66 is 60.8% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $999.9M | $893.7M |
| Year 2 | $1.12B | $898.1M |
| Year 3 | $1.26B | $902.6M |
| Year 4 | $1.42B | $907.2M |
| Year 5 | $1.60B | $911.7M |
| Year 6 | $1.80B | $916.3M |
| Year 7 | $2.02B | $920.9M |
| Year 8 | $2.27B | $925.5M |
| Year 9 | $2.56B | $930.1M |
| Year 10 | $2.87B | $934.8M |
| Terminal Value | $31.38B | $10.21B |
What Are STLD's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$234.67
EPS (TTM)
$10.95
Forward P/E
12.4
Profit Margin
7.8%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
234.2M
EBITDA
2.7B
Book Value
$65.59
Total Debt
4.4B
What Do Analysts Say About STLD?
Low
$221.00
Average
$271.21
High
$310.00
Upside
+15.6%
STLD Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of STLD?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), STLD's estimated fair value is $134.80. The stock is currently trading at $234.67, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is STLD's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is STLD overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, STLD is overvalued. The current price of $234.67 is 42.6% above our estimated fair value of $134.80.
What do Wall Street analysts say about STLD?
14 analysts cover Steel Dynamics with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $271.21, ranging from $221.00 to $310.00. This implies 15.6% upside from the current price.