What Is STLD Fair Value?
Steel Dynamics (STLD) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Steel Dynamics (STLD) has a composite fair value estimate of $222.56 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $240.63, suggesting the stock is fair value by 7.5%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value4 of 4 models$222.56
vs. current price of $240.63(-7.5%)
How Is STLD Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what STLD is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
STLD Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$202.66
-15.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$49.00
-79.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
STLD Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$158.47
-34.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$368.58
+53.2%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $240.63 is 15.8% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.08B | $968.6M |
| Year 2 | $1.32B | $1.06B |
| Year 3 | $1.60B | $1.15B |
| Year 4 | $1.95B | $1.25B |
| Year 5 | $2.37B | $1.36B |
| Year 6 | $2.88B | $1.49B |
| Year 7 | $3.51B | $1.62B |
| Year 8 | $4.27B | $1.76B |
| Year 9 | $5.19B | $1.92B |
| Year 10 | $6.32B | $2.09B |
| Terminal Value | $70.47B | $23.33B |
What Are STLD's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$240.63
EPS (TTM)
$11.03
Forward P/E
11.6
Profit Margin
7.8%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
234.2M
EBITDA
2.7B
Book Value
$65.59
Total Debt
4.4B
What Do Analysts Say About STLD?
Low
$205.45
Average
$270.82
High
$310.00
Upside
+12.5%
STLD Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of STLD?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), STLD's estimated fair value is $222.56. The stock is currently trading at $240.63, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is STLD's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is STLD overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, STLD is fair value. The current price of $240.63 is 7.5% above our estimated fair value of $222.56.
What do Wall Street analysts say about STLD?
14 analysts cover Steel Dynamics with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $270.82, ranging from $205.45 to $310.00. This implies 12.5% upside from the current price.