What Is STX Fair Value?
Seagate Technology (STX) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Seagate Technology (STX) has a composite fair value estimate of $597.52 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $747.20, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 20.0%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$597.52
vs. current price of $747.20(-20.0%)
How Is STX Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what STX is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
STX Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$282.68
-62.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$40.23
-94.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
STX Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$88.27
-88.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$1,812.06
+142.5%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $747.20 is 62.2% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.98B | $2.58B |
| Year 2 | $3.73B | $2.79B |
| Year 3 | $4.66B | $3.01B |
| Year 4 | $5.83B | $3.26B |
| Year 5 | $7.29B | $3.52B |
| Year 6 | $9.11B | $3.80B |
| Year 7 | $11.39B | $4.11B |
| Year 8 | $14.23B | $4.44B |
| Year 9 | $17.79B | $4.80B |
| Year 10 | $22.24B | $5.18B |
| Terminal Value | $173.01B | $40.33B |
What Are STX's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$747.20
EPS (TTM)
$13.90
Forward P/E
13.3
Profit Margin
26.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.9B
EBITDA
4.5B
Book Value
$9.56
Total Debt
3.9B
What Do Analysts Say About STX?
Low
$700.00
Average
$1,138.33
High
$1,600.00
Upside
+52.3%
STX Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of STX?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), STX's estimated fair value is $597.52. The stock is currently trading at $747.20, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is STX's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is STX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, STX is overvalued. The current price of $747.20 is 20.0% above our estimated fair value of $597.52.
What do Wall Street analysts say about STX?
24 analysts cover Seagate Technology with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $1,138.33, ranging from $700.00 to $1,600.00. This implies 52.3% upside from the current price.