What Is STZ Fair Value?
Constellation Brands (STZ) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Constellation Brands (STZ) has a composite fair value estimate of $190.51 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $131.64, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 44.7%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$190.51
vs. current price of $131.64(+44.7%)
How Is STZ Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what STZ is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
STZ Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$290.15
+120.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$91.34
-30.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
STZ Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$111.42
-15.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$117.94
-10.4%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $131.64 is 120.4% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.26B | $2.14B |
| Year 2 | $2.32B | $2.07B |
| Year 3 | $2.37B | $2.00B |
| Year 4 | $2.43B | $1.94B |
| Year 5 | $2.48B | $1.88B |
| Year 6 | $2.54B | $1.82B |
| Year 7 | $2.60B | $1.76B |
| Year 8 | $2.66B | $1.70B |
| Year 9 | $2.72B | $1.65B |
| Year 10 | $2.79B | $1.59B |
| Terminal Value | $87.81B | $50.18B |
What Are STZ's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$131.64
EPS (TTM)
$10.52
Forward P/E
10.6
Profit Margin
20.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.2B
EBITDA
3.5B
Book Value
$46.78
Total Debt
10.5B
What Do Analysts Say About STZ?
Low
$115.00
Average
$171.00
High
$209.00
Upside
+29.9%
STZ Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of STZ?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), STZ's estimated fair value is $190.51. The stock is currently trading at $131.64, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is STZ's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is STZ overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, STZ is undervalued. The current price of $131.64 is 44.7% below our estimated fair value of $190.51.
What do Wall Street analysts say about STZ?
23 analysts cover Constellation Brands with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $171.00, ranging from $115.00 to $209.00. This implies 29.9% upside from the current price.