What Is STZ Fair Value?
Constellation Brands (STZ) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Constellation Brands (STZ) has a composite fair value estimate of $188.86 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $130.69, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 44.5%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$188.86
vs. current price of $130.69(+44.5%)
How Is STZ Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what STZ is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
STZ Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$285.80
+118.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$89.41
-31.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
STZ Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$113.06
-13.5%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$118.00
-9.7%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $130.69 is 118.7% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.26B | $2.14B |
| Year 2 | $2.32B | $2.07B |
| Year 3 | $2.38B | $2.00B |
| Year 4 | $2.43B | $1.94B |
| Year 5 | $2.49B | $1.88B |
| Year 6 | $2.55B | $1.82B |
| Year 7 | $2.61B | $1.76B |
| Year 8 | $2.68B | $1.70B |
| Year 9 | $2.74B | $1.65B |
| Year 10 | $2.81B | $1.60B |
| Terminal Value | $86.77B | $49.29B |
What Are STZ's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$130.69
EPS (TTM)
$10.50
Forward P/E
10.5
Profit Margin
20.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.2B
EBITDA
3.5B
Book Value
$48.15
Total Debt
10.5B
What Do Analysts Say About STZ?
Low
$115.00
Average
$170.83
High
$209.00
Upside
+30.7%
STZ Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of STZ?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), STZ's estimated fair value is $188.86. The stock is currently trading at $130.69, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is STZ's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is STZ overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, STZ is undervalued. The current price of $130.69 is 44.5% below our estimated fair value of $188.86.
What do Wall Street analysts say about STZ?
23 analysts cover Constellation Brands with a consensus rating of "." The average price target is $170.83, ranging from $115.00 to $209.00. This implies 30.7% upside from the current price.