What Is SW Fair Value?
Smurfit Westrock (SW) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Smurfit Westrock (SW) has a composite fair value estimate of $135.65 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $40.75, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 232.9%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued3 of 4 models$135.65
vs. current price of $40.75(+232.9%)
How Is SW Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SW is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SW Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$221.55
+443.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
SW Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$36.50
-10.4%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$59.80
+46.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $40.75 is 443.7% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.52B | $1.42B |
| Year 2 | $1.90B | $1.65B |
| Year 3 | $2.37B | $1.92B |
| Year 4 | $2.97B | $2.24B |
| Year 5 | $3.71B | $2.61B |
| Year 6 | $4.63B | $3.04B |
| Year 7 | $5.79B | $3.54B |
| Year 8 | $7.24B | $4.12B |
| Year 9 | $9.05B | $4.80B |
| Year 10 | $11.32B | $5.59B |
| Terminal Value | $241.42B | $119.29B |
What Are SW's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$40.75
EPS (TTM)
$0.95
Forward P/E
11.6
Profit Margin
1.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.2B
EBITDA
4.6B
Book Value
$34.43
Total Debt
14.2B
What Do Analysts Say About SW?
Low
$46.00
Average
$56.78
High
$69.00
Upside
+39.3%
SW Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SW?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SW's estimated fair value is $135.65. The stock is currently trading at $40.75, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is SW's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SW overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SW is undervalued. The current price of $40.75 is 232.9% below our estimated fair value of $135.65.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SW?
16 analysts cover Smurfit Westrock with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $56.78, ranging from $46.00 to $69.00. This implies 39.3% upside from the current price.