What Is SW Fair Value?
Smurfit Westrock (SW) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Smurfit Westrock (SW) has a composite fair value estimate of $127.39 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $48.29, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 163.8%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$127.39
vs. current price of $48.29(+163.8%)
How Is SW Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SW is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SW Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$205.39
+325.3%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$121.04
+150.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
SW Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$38.05
-21.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$60.60
+25.5%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $48.29 is 325.3% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.52B | $1.41B |
| Year 2 | $1.90B | $1.64B |
| Year 3 | $2.37B | $1.91B |
| Year 4 | $2.97B | $2.21B |
| Year 5 | $3.71B | $2.57B |
| Year 6 | $4.63B | $2.99B |
| Year 7 | $5.79B | $3.47B |
| Year 8 | $7.24B | $4.04B |
| Year 9 | $9.05B | $4.69B |
| Year 10 | $11.32B | $5.45B |
| Terminal Value | $228.17B | $109.85B |
What Are SW's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$48.29
EPS (TTM)
$0.94
Forward P/E
14.2
Profit Margin
1.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.2B
EBITDA
4.6B
Book Value
$34.43
Total Debt
14.2B
What Do Analysts Say About SW?
Low
$46.00
Average
$56.72
High
$68.00
Upside
+17.5%
SW Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SW?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SW's estimated fair value is $127.39. The stock is currently trading at $48.29, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is SW's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SW overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SW is undervalued. The current price of $48.29 is 163.8% below our estimated fair value of $127.39.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SW?
16 analysts cover Smurfit Westrock with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $56.72, ranging from $46.00 to $68.00. This implies 17.5% upside from the current price.