What Is SW Fair Value?
Smurfit Westrock (SW) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Smurfit Westrock (SW) has a composite fair value estimate of $141.64 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $43.59, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 224.9%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$141.64
vs. current price of $43.59(+224.9%)
How Is SW Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SW is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SW Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$240.41
+451.5%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$119.01
+173.0%Undervalued
Inputs used
SW Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$40.89
-6.2%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$58.29
+33.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $43.59 is 451.5% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.70B | $1.58B |
| Year 2 | $2.13B | $1.84B |
| Year 3 | $2.66B | $2.14B |
| Year 4 | $3.32B | $2.49B |
| Year 5 | $4.15B | $2.90B |
| Year 6 | $5.19B | $3.37B |
| Year 7 | $6.49B | $3.92B |
| Year 8 | $8.11B | $4.56B |
| Year 9 | $10.13B | $5.31B |
| Year 10 | $12.67B | $6.17B |
| Terminal Value | $261.99B | $127.64B |
What Are SW's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$43.59
EPS (TTM)
$0.73
Forward P/E
13.1
Profit Margin
1.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.4B
EBITDA
4.8B
Book Value
$34.48
Total Debt
14.3B
What Do Analysts Say About SW?
Low
$46.00
Average
$54.46
High
$65.00
Upside
+24.9%
SW Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SW?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SW's estimated fair value is $141.64. The stock is currently trading at $43.59, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is SW's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SW overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SW is undervalued. The current price of $43.59 is 224.9% below our estimated fair value of $141.64.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SW?
14 analysts cover Smurfit Westrock with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $54.46, ranging from $46.00 to $65.00. This implies 24.9% upside from the current price.