What Is SWK Fair Value?
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) has a composite fair value estimate of $129.03 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $87.96, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 46.7%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$129.03
vs. current price of $87.96(+46.7%)
How Is SWK Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what SWK is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
SWK Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$172.21
+95.8%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$110.96
+26.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
SWK Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$83.50
-5.1%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$82.42
-6.3%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $87.96 is 95.8% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $971.5M | $895.0M |
| Year 2 | $1.12B | $951.1M |
| Year 3 | $1.29B | $1.01B |
| Year 4 | $1.49B | $1.07B |
| Year 5 | $1.72B | $1.14B |
| Year 6 | $1.98B | $1.21B |
| Year 7 | $2.29B | $1.29B |
| Year 8 | $2.64B | $1.37B |
| Year 9 | $3.05B | $1.46B |
| Year 10 | $3.52B | $1.55B |
| Terminal Value | $59.50B | $26.18B |
What Are SWK's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$87.96
EPS (TTM)
$2.45
Forward P/E
14.2
Profit Margin
2.4%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
842.2M
EBITDA
1.7B
Book Value
$57.75
Total Debt
7B
What Do Analysts Say About SWK?
Low
$80.00
Average
$90.18
High
$110.00
Upside
+2.5%
SWK Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of SWK?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), SWK's estimated fair value is $129.03. The stock is currently trading at $87.96, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is SWK's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is SWK overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, SWK is undervalued. The current price of $87.96 is 46.7% below our estimated fair value of $129.03.
What do Wall Street analysts say about SWK?
11 analysts cover Stanley Black & Decker with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $90.18, ranging from $80.00 to $110.00. This implies 2.5% upside from the current price.