What Is TAP Fair Value?
Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) has a composite fair value estimate of $91.30 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $38.52, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 137.0%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$91.30
vs. current price of $38.52(+137.0%)
How Is TAP Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what TAP is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
TAP Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$132.51
+244.0%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$40.25
+4.5%Fair Value
Inputs used
TAP Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$75.73
+96.6%Undervalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$47.08
+22.2%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $38.52 is 244.0% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $953.8M | $905.9M |
| Year 2 | $972.9M | $877.7M |
| Year 3 | $992.4M | $850.3M |
| Year 4 | $1.01B | $823.7M |
| Year 5 | $1.03B | $798.0M |
| Year 6 | $1.05B | $773.1M |
| Year 7 | $1.07B | $748.9M |
| Year 8 | $1.10B | $725.6M |
| Year 9 | $1.12B | $702.9M |
| Year 10 | $1.14B | $681.0M |
| Terminal Value | $41.92B | $25.04B |
What Are TAP's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$38.52
EPS (TTM)
-$11.64
Forward P/E
8.0
Profit Margin
-20.8%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
935.1M
EBITDA
2.3B
Book Value
$54.14
Total Debt
7.9B
What Do Analysts Say About TAP?
Low
$33.00
Average
$44.62
High
$61.00
Upside
+15.8%
TAP Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of TAP?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), TAP's estimated fair value is $91.30. The stock is currently trading at $38.52, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is TAP's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is TAP overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, TAP is undervalued. The current price of $38.52 is 137.0% below our estimated fair value of $91.30.
What do Wall Street analysts say about TAP?
21 analysts cover Molson Coors Beverage Company with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $44.62, ranging from $33.00 to $61.00. This implies 15.8% upside from the current price.