What Is TAP Fair Value?
Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) has a composite fair value estimate of $76.74 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $39.61, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 93.7%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$76.74
vs. current price of $39.61(+93.7%)
How Is TAP Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what TAP is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
TAP Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$96.82
+144.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$40.76
+2.9%Fair Value
Inputs used
TAP Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$75.60
+90.9%Undervalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$47.44
+19.8%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $39.61 is 144.4% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $789.5M | $748.9M |
| Year 2 | $805.3M | $724.6M |
| Year 3 | $821.4M | $701.0M |
| Year 4 | $837.9M | $678.3M |
| Year 5 | $854.6M | $656.2M |
| Year 6 | $871.7M | $634.9M |
| Year 7 | $889.2M | $614.3M |
| Year 8 | $906.9M | $594.3M |
| Year 9 | $925.1M | $575.0M |
| Year 10 | $943.6M | $556.3M |
| Terminal Value | $33.06B | $19.49B |
What Are TAP's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$39.61
EPS (TTM)
-$10.75
Forward P/E
8.0
Profit Margin
-18.9%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
774.1M
EBITDA
2.4B
Book Value
$53.55
Total Debt
6.5B
What Do Analysts Say About TAP?
Low
$35.00
Average
$45.57
High
$61.00
Upside
+15.1%
TAP Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of TAP?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), TAP's estimated fair value is $76.74. The stock is currently trading at $39.61, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is TAP's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is TAP overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, TAP is undervalued. The current price of $39.61 is 93.7% below our estimated fair value of $76.74.
What do Wall Street analysts say about TAP?
21 analysts cover Molson Coors Beverage Company with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $45.57, ranging from $35.00 to $61.00. This implies 15.1% upside from the current price.