What Is TJX Fair Value?
TJX Companies Inc. (TJX) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 31, 2026, TJX Companies Inc. (TJX) has a composite fair value estimate of $88.27 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $140.31, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 37.1%.
Data as of October 31, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$88.27
vs. current price of $140.31(-37.1%)
How Is TJX Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what TJX is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
TJX Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$129.97
-7.4%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$84.49
-39.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
TJX Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$33.79
-75.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$54.52
-61.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $140.31 is 7.4% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $4.86B | $4.53B |
| Year 2 | $5.36B | $4.66B |
| Year 3 | $5.92B | $4.79B |
| Year 4 | $6.53B | $4.93B |
| Year 5 | $7.21B | $5.07B |
| Year 6 | $7.96B | $5.22B |
| Year 7 | $8.79B | $5.37B |
| Year 8 | $9.70B | $5.53B |
| Year 9 | $10.71B | $5.69B |
| Year 10 | $11.82B | $5.85B |
| Terminal Value | $253.53B | $125.58B |
What Are TJX's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$140.31
EPS (TTM)
$5.40
Forward P/E
24.3
Profit Margin
9.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
4.4B
EBITDA
8.9B
Book Value
$9.67
Total Debt
14.3B
What Do Analysts Say About TJX?
Low
$136.00
Average
$171.42
High
$198.00
Upside
+22.2%
TJX Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of TJX?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), TJX's estimated fair value is $88.27. The stock is currently trading at $140.31, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is TJX's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is TJX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, TJX is overvalued. The current price of $140.31 is 37.1% above our estimated fair value of $88.27.
What do Wall Street analysts say about TJX?
19 analysts cover TJX Companies Inc. with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $171.42, ranging from $136.00 to $198.00. This implies 22.2% upside from the current price.