What Is TKO Fair Value?
TKO Group Holdings (TKO) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, TKO Group Holdings (TKO) has a composite fair value estimate of $201.48 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $185.70, suggesting the stock is fair value by 8.5%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value4 of 4 models$201.48
vs. current price of $185.70(+8.5%)
How Is TKO Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what TKO is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
TKO Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$375.01
+101.9%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$123.04
-33.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
TKO Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$67.37
-63.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$47.08
-74.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $185.70 is 101.9% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $918.2M | $859.2M |
| Year 2 | $1.01B | $888.4M |
| Year 3 | $1.12B | $918.7M |
| Year 4 | $1.24B | $949.9M |
| Year 5 | $1.37B | $982.2M |
| Year 6 | $1.51B | $1.02B |
| Year 7 | $1.67B | $1.05B |
| Year 8 | $1.85B | $1.09B |
| Year 9 | $2.04B | $1.12B |
| Year 10 | $2.26B | $1.16B |
| Terminal Value | $52.91B | $27.22B |
What Are TKO's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$185.70
EPS (TTM)
$2.71
Forward P/E
39.8
Profit Margin
4.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
830.9M
EBITDA
1.4B
Book Value
$45.04
Total Debt
5B
What Do Analysts Say About TKO?
Low
$185.00
Average
$233.00
High
$275.00
Upside
+25.5%
TKO Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of TKO?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), TKO's estimated fair value is $201.48. The stock is currently trading at $185.70, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is TKO's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is TKO overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, TKO is fair value. The current price of $185.70 is 8.5% below our estimated fair value of $201.48.
What do Wall Street analysts say about TKO?
19 analysts cover TKO Group Holdings with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $233.00, ranging from $185.00 to $275.00. This implies 25.5% upside from the current price.