What Is TSN Fair Value?
Tyson Foods (TSN) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Tyson Foods (TSN) has a composite fair value estimate of $68.13 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $53.79, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 26.7%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$68.13
vs. current price of $53.79(+26.7%)
How Is TSN Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what TSN is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
TSN Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$87.30
+62.3%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$44.53
-17.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
TSN Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$65.22
+21.3%Undervalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$36.79
-31.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $53.79 is 62.3% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.22B | $1.15B |
| Year 2 | $1.24B | $1.11B |
| Year 3 | $1.26B | $1.07B |
| Year 4 | $1.29B | $1.03B |
| Year 5 | $1.32B | $995.4M |
| Year 6 | $1.34B | $960.2M |
| Year 7 | $1.37B | $926.3M |
| Year 8 | $1.40B | $893.7M |
| Year 9 | $1.42B | $862.1M |
| Year 10 | $1.45B | $831.7M |
| Terminal Value | $46.06B | $26.38B |
What Are TSN's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$53.79
EPS (TTM)
$1.62
Forward P/E
13.1
Profit Margin
1.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.2B
EBITDA
2.8B
Book Value
$51.39
Total Debt
8B
What Do Analysts Say About TSN?
Low
$56.00
Average
$63.00
High
$75.00
Upside
+17.1%
TSN Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of TSN?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), TSN's estimated fair value is $68.13. The stock is currently trading at $53.79, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is TSN's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is TSN overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, TSN is undervalued. The current price of $53.79 is 26.7% below our estimated fair value of $68.13.
What do Wall Street analysts say about TSN?
12 analysts cover Tyson Foods with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $63.00, ranging from $56.00 to $75.00. This implies 17.1% upside from the current price.