What Is UAL Fair Value?
United Airlines Holdings (UAL) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) has a composite fair value estimate of $369.30 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $110.60, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 233.9%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued3 of 4 models$369.30
vs. current price of $110.60(+233.9%)
How Is UAL Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what UAL is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
UAL Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$555.08
+401.9%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
UAL Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$108.67
-1.7%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$232.71
+110.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $110.60 is 401.9% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $3.09B | $2.86B |
| Year 2 | $3.79B | $3.26B |
| Year 3 | $4.66B | $3.71B |
| Year 4 | $5.72B | $4.22B |
| Year 5 | $7.03B | $4.80B |
| Year 6 | $8.63B | $5.47B |
| Year 7 | $10.60B | $6.22B |
| Year 8 | $13.01B | $7.08B |
| Year 9 | $15.98B | $8.06B |
| Year 10 | $19.63B | $9.17B |
| Terminal Value | $372.48B | $174.13B |
What Are UAL's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$110.60
EPS (TTM)
$10.51
Forward P/E
7.2
Profit Margin
5.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
910.1M
EBITDA
7.1B
Book Value
$51.44
Total Debt
33.7B
What Do Analysts Say About UAL?
Low
$95.00
Average
$161.28
High
$203.00
Upside
+45.8%
UAL Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of UAL?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), UAL's estimated fair value is $369.30. The stock is currently trading at $110.60, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is UAL's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is UAL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, UAL is undervalued. The current price of $110.60 is 233.9% below our estimated fair value of $369.30.
What do Wall Street analysts say about UAL?
23 analysts cover United Airlines Holdings with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $161.28, ranging from $95.00 to $203.00. This implies 45.8% upside from the current price.