What Is WM Fair Value?
Waste Management (WM) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Waste Management (WM) has a composite fair value estimate of $155.49 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $211.83, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 26.6%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$155.49
vs. current price of $211.83(-26.6%)
How Is WM Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what WM is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
WM Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$207.92
-1.8%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$216.96
+2.4%Fair Value
Inputs used
WM Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$67.40
-68.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$81.93
-61.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $211.83 is 1.8% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.58B | $2.43B |
| Year 2 | $2.85B | $2.52B |
| Year 3 | $3.13B | $2.61B |
| Year 4 | $3.45B | $2.71B |
| Year 5 | $3.79B | $2.80B |
| Year 6 | $4.18B | $2.91B |
| Year 7 | $4.60B | $3.01B |
| Year 8 | $5.06B | $3.12B |
| Year 9 | $5.57B | $3.23B |
| Year 10 | $6.13B | $3.35B |
| Terminal Value | $168.24B | $91.89B |
What Are WM's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$211.83
EPS (TTM)
$7.06
Forward P/E
23.3
Profit Margin
11.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.3B
EBITDA
7.8B
Book Value
$24.82
Total Debt
23.4B
What Do Analysts Say About WM?
Low
$220.00
Average
$254.84
High
$277.00
Upside
+20.3%
WM Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of WM?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), WM's estimated fair value is $155.49. The stock is currently trading at $211.83, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is WM's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is WM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, WM is overvalued. The current price of $211.83 is 26.6% above our estimated fair value of $155.49.
What do Wall Street analysts say about WM?
25 analysts cover Waste Management with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $254.84, ranging from $220.00 to $277.00. This implies 20.3% upside from the current price.