What Is WMT Fair Value?
Walmart Inc. (WMT) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 31, 2026, Walmart Inc. (WMT) has a composite fair value estimate of $47.11 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $123.51, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 61.9%.
Data as of October 31, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$47.11
vs. current price of $123.51(-61.9%)
How Is WMT Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what WMT is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
WMT Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$62.86
-49.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$43.45
-64.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
WMT Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$28.34
-77.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$30.48
-75.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $123.51 is 49.1% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $18.15B | $16.90B |
| Year 2 | $20.07B | $17.40B |
| Year 3 | $22.19B | $17.91B |
| Year 4 | $24.53B | $18.43B |
| Year 5 | $27.12B | $18.97B |
| Year 6 | $29.99B | $19.53B |
| Year 7 | $33.16B | $20.10B |
| Year 8 | $36.66B | $20.69B |
| Year 9 | $40.53B | $21.29B |
| Year 10 | $44.81B | $21.92B |
| Terminal Value | $934.70B | $457.17B |
What Are WMT's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$123.51
EPS (TTM)
$2.76
Forward P/E
38.3
Profit Margin
3.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
7.1B
EBITDA
44.1B
Book Value
$12.37
Total Debt
75.1B
What Do Analysts Say About WMT?
Low
$81.00
Average
$127.48
High
$155.00
Upside
+3.2%
WMT Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of WMT?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), WMT's estimated fair value is $47.11. The stock is currently trading at $123.51, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is WMT's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is WMT overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, WMT is overvalued. The current price of $123.51 is 61.9% above our estimated fair value of $47.11.
What do Wall Street analysts say about WMT?
40 analysts cover Walmart Inc. with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $127.48, ranging from $81.00 to $155.00. This implies 3.2% upside from the current price.