What Is YUM Fair Value?
Yum! Brands (YUM) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Yum! Brands (YUM) has a composite fair value estimate of $135.01 based on four valuation models: DCF (47% weight), Graham Number (0% weight), PEG (33% weight), and DDM (20% weight). The current market price is $152.57, suggesting the stock is fair value by 11.5%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value3 of 4 models$135.01
vs. current price of $152.57(-11.5%)
How Is YUM Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what YUM is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
YUM Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
47% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$148.01
-3.0%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
20% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$146.42
-4.0%Fair Value
Inputs used
YUM Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
0% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
N/A
Requires positive EPS and book value. Yum! Brands currently has negative earnings, so the Graham formula cannot be applied.
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
33% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$73.40
-51.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $152.57 is 3.0% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.40B | $1.31B |
| Year 2 | $1.55B | $1.36B |
| Year 3 | $1.72B | $1.41B |
| Year 4 | $1.90B | $1.47B |
| Year 5 | $2.11B | $1.52B |
| Year 6 | $2.34B | $1.58B |
| Year 7 | $2.59B | $1.65B |
| Year 8 | $2.87B | $1.71B |
| Year 9 | $3.19B | $1.77B |
| Year 10 | $3.53B | $1.84B |
| Terminal Value | $85.85B | $44.82B |
What Are YUM's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$152.57
EPS (TTM)
$5.98
Forward P/E
20.5
Profit Margin
20.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.3B
EBITDA
3B
Book Value
-$26.44
Total Debt
13.1B
What Do Analysts Say About YUM?
Low
$147.00
Average
$174.24
High
$200.00
Upside
+14.2%
YUM Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of YUM?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), YUM's estimated fair value is $135.01. The stock is currently trading at $152.57, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is YUM's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is YUM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, YUM is fair value. The current price of $152.57 is 11.5% above our estimated fair value of $135.01.
What do Wall Street analysts say about YUM?
21 analysts cover Yum! Brands with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $174.24, ranging from $147.00 to $200.00. This implies 14.2% upside from the current price.