What Is ALLE Fair Value?
Allegion (ALLE) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Allegion (ALLE) has a composite fair value estimate of $101.88 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $153.17, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 33.5%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$101.88
vs. current price of $153.17(-33.5%)
How Is ALLE Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what ALLE is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
ALLE Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$129.99
-15.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$54.82
-64.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
ALLE Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$70.88
-53.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$89.66
-41.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $153.17 is 15.1% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $531.2M | $490.5M |
| Year 2 | $582.4M | $496.6M |
| Year 3 | $638.5M | $502.8M |
| Year 4 | $700.0M | $509.1M |
| Year 5 | $767.5M | $515.5M |
| Year 6 | $841.5M | $521.9M |
| Year 7 | $922.6M | $528.5M |
| Year 8 | $1.01B | $535.1M |
| Year 9 | $1.11B | $541.7M |
| Year 10 | $1.22B | $548.5M |
| Terminal Value | $21.54B | $9.72B |
What Are ALLE's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$153.17
EPS (TTM)
$7.63
Forward P/E
15.7
Profit Margin
15.4%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
484.4M
EBITDA
1B
Book Value
$24.91
Total Debt
2.2B
What Do Analysts Say About ALLE?
Low
$160.00
Average
$178.00
High
$202.00
Upside
+16.2%
ALLE Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of ALLE?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), ALLE's estimated fair value is $101.88. The stock is currently trading at $153.17, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is ALLE's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is ALLE overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, ALLE is overvalued. The current price of $153.17 is 33.5% above our estimated fair value of $101.88.
What do Wall Street analysts say about ALLE?
11 analysts cover Allegion with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $178.00, ranging from $160.00 to $202.00. This implies 16.2% upside from the current price.