What Is CEG Fair Value?
Constellation Energy (CEG) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Constellation Energy (CEG) has a composite fair value estimate of $184.35 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $258.12, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 28.6%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$184.35
vs. current price of $258.12(-28.6%)
How Is CEG Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what CEG is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
CEG Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$182.97
-29.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$69.29
-73.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
CEG Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$156.07
-39.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$238.41
-7.6%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $258.12 is 29.1% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.09B | $1.91B |
| Year 2 | $2.52B | $2.11B |
| Year 3 | $3.03B | $2.32B |
| Year 4 | $3.65B | $2.55B |
| Year 5 | $4.39B | $2.81B |
| Year 6 | $5.28B | $3.09B |
| Year 7 | $6.36B | $3.40B |
| Year 8 | $7.65B | $3.74B |
| Year 9 | $9.21B | $4.12B |
| Year 10 | $11.09B | $4.54B |
| Terminal Value | $165.92B | $67.88B |
What Are CEG's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$258.12
EPS (TTM)
$11.59
Forward P/E
19.0
Profit Margin
12.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-4.5B
EBITDA
8B
Book Value
$92.40
Total Debt
22.5B
What Do Analysts Say About CEG?
Low
$296.00
Average
$357.81
High
$441.00
Upside
+38.6%
CEG Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of CEG?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), CEG's estimated fair value is $184.35. The stock is currently trading at $258.12, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is CEG's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is CEG overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, CEG is overvalued. The current price of $258.12 is 28.6% above our estimated fair value of $184.35.
What do Wall Street analysts say about CEG?
21 analysts cover Constellation Energy with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $357.81, ranging from $296.00 to $441.00. This implies 38.6% upside from the current price.