What Is CEG Fair Value?
Constellation Energy (CEG) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Constellation Energy (CEG) has a composite fair value estimate of $175.24 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $295.79, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 40.8%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$175.24
vs. current price of $295.79(-40.8%)
How Is CEG Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what CEG is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
CEG Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$161.69
-45.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$68.16
-77.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
CEG Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$156.82
-47.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$236.93
-19.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $295.79 is 45.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.08B | $1.90B |
| Year 2 | $2.48B | $2.07B |
| Year 3 | $2.97B | $2.27B |
| Year 4 | $3.55B | $2.48B |
| Year 5 | $4.24B | $2.70B |
| Year 6 | $5.07B | $2.95B |
| Year 7 | $6.06B | $3.22B |
| Year 8 | $7.24B | $3.52B |
| Year 9 | $8.65B | $3.85B |
| Year 10 | $10.34B | $4.20B |
| Terminal Value | $153.11B | $62.23B |
What Are CEG's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$295.79
EPS (TTM)
$10.23
Forward P/E
22.2
Profit Margin
11.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-6.6B
EBITDA
8B
Book Value
$90.00
Total Debt
24.7B
What Do Analysts Say About CEG?
Low
$290.00
Average
$341.53
High
$395.00
Upside
+15.5%
CEG Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of CEG?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), CEG's estimated fair value is $175.24. The stock is currently trading at $295.79, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is CEG's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is CEG overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, CEG is overvalued. The current price of $295.79 is 40.8% above our estimated fair value of $175.24.
What do Wall Street analysts say about CEG?
20 analysts cover Constellation Energy with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $341.53, ranging from $290.00 to $395.00. This implies 15.5% upside from the current price.