What Is FDX Fair Value?
FedEx (FDX) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, FedEx (FDX) has a composite fair value estimate of $260.19 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $290.59, suggesting the stock is fair value by 10.5%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value4 of 4 models$260.19
vs. current price of $290.59(-10.5%)
How Is FDX Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what FDX is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
FDX Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$359.52
+23.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$60.67
-79.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
FDX Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$231.54
-20.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$180.69
-37.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $290.59 is 23.7% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $6.05B | $5.56B |
| Year 2 | $6.47B | $5.47B |
| Year 3 | $6.92B | $5.38B |
| Year 4 | $7.40B | $5.29B |
| Year 5 | $7.92B | $5.20B |
| Year 6 | $8.47B | $5.11B |
| Year 7 | $9.06B | $5.02B |
| Year 8 | $9.69B | $4.94B |
| Year 9 | $10.36B | $4.86B |
| Year 10 | $11.09B | $4.78B |
| Terminal Value | $180.80B | $77.89B |
What Are FDX's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$290.59
EPS (TTM)
$18.55
Forward P/E
14.0
Profit Margin
4.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
5.7B
EBITDA
11.8B
Book Value
$131.86
Total Debt
42.9B
What Do Analysts Say About FDX?
Low
$160.00
Average
$355.50
High
$479.00
Upside
+22.3%
FDX Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of FDX?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), FDX's estimated fair value is $260.19. The stock is currently trading at $290.59, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is FDX's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is FDX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, FDX is fair value. The current price of $290.59 is 10.5% above our estimated fair value of $260.19.
What do Wall Street analysts say about FDX?
26 analysts cover FedEx with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $355.50, ranging from $160.00 to $479.00. This implies 22.3% upside from the current price.