What Is FDX Fair Value?
FedEx (FDX) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, FedEx (FDX) has a composite fair value estimate of $240.91 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $313.42, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 23.1%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$240.91
vs. current price of $313.42(-23.1%)
How Is FDX Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what FDX is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
FDX Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$315.32
+0.6%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$58.38
-81.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
FDX Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$230.09
-26.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$179.18
-42.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $313.42 is 0.6% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $5.89B | $5.41B |
| Year 2 | $6.27B | $5.28B |
| Year 3 | $6.68B | $5.16B |
| Year 4 | $7.11B | $5.04B |
| Year 5 | $7.56B | $4.92B |
| Year 6 | $8.05B | $4.81B |
| Year 7 | $8.57B | $4.70B |
| Year 8 | $9.13B | $4.59B |
| Year 9 | $9.71B | $4.48B |
| Year 10 | $10.34B | $4.38B |
| Terminal Value | $163.80B | $69.38B |
What Are FDX's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$313.42
EPS (TTM)
$18.52
Forward P/E
15.3
Profit Margin
4.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
5.5B
EBITDA
11.9B
Book Value
$131.32
Total Debt
42.9B
What Do Analysts Say About FDX?
Low
$160.00
Average
$352.43
High
$479.00
Upside
+12.4%
FDX Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of FDX?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), FDX's estimated fair value is $240.91. The stock is currently trading at $313.42, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is FDX's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is FDX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, FDX is overvalued. The current price of $313.42 is 23.1% above our estimated fair value of $240.91.
What do Wall Street analysts say about FDX?
25 analysts cover FedEx with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $352.43, ranging from $160.00 to $479.00. This implies 12.4% upside from the current price.