What Is MAR Fair Value?
Marriott International (MAR) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Marriott International (MAR) has a composite fair value estimate of $176.78 based on four valuation models: DCF (47% weight), Graham Number (0% weight), PEG (33% weight), and DDM (20% weight). The current market price is $351.08, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 49.6%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$176.78
vs. current price of $351.08(-49.6%)
How Is MAR Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MAR is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MAR Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
47% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$183.62
-47.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
20% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$93.90
-73.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
MAR Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
0% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
N/A
Requires positive EPS and book value. Marriott International currently has negative earnings, so the Graham formula cannot be applied.
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
33% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$171.59
-51.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $351.08 is 47.7% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.36B | $2.16B |
| Year 2 | $2.71B | $2.26B |
| Year 3 | $3.10B | $2.36B |
| Year 4 | $3.56B | $2.47B |
| Year 5 | $4.08B | $2.58B |
| Year 6 | $4.68B | $2.70B |
| Year 7 | $5.36B | $2.83B |
| Year 8 | $6.15B | $2.96B |
| Year 9 | $7.05B | $3.10B |
| Year 10 | $8.08B | $3.24B |
| Terminal Value | $117.18B | $46.99B |
What Are MAR's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$351.08
EPS (TTM)
$9.66
Forward P/E
26.7
Profit Margin
35.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.1B
EBITDA
4.8B
Book Value
-$17.28
Total Debt
17.8B
What Do Analysts Say About MAR?
Low
$280.00
Average
$380.64
High
$425.00
Upside
+8.4%
MAR Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MAR?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MAR's estimated fair value is $176.78. The stock is currently trading at $351.08, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MAR's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MAR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MAR is overvalued. The current price of $351.08 is 49.6% above our estimated fair value of $176.78.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MAR?
25 analysts cover Marriott International with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $380.64, ranging from $280.00 to $425.00. This implies 8.4% upside from the current price.