What Is MAR Fair Value?
Marriott International (MAR) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Marriott International (MAR) has a composite fair value estimate of $190.49 based on four valuation models: DCF (58% weight), Graham Number (0% weight), PEG (42% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $371.82, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 48.8%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued2 of 4 models$190.49
vs. current price of $371.82(-48.8%)
How Is MAR Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MAR is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MAR Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
58% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$173.24
-53.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
MAR Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
0% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
N/A
Requires positive EPS and book value. Marriott International currently has negative earnings, so the Graham formula cannot be applied.
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
42% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$171.85
-53.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $371.82 is 53.4% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.36B | $2.15B |
| Year 2 | $2.71B | $2.24B |
| Year 3 | $3.11B | $2.34B |
| Year 4 | $3.56B | $2.45B |
| Year 5 | $4.08B | $2.55B |
| Year 6 | $4.68B | $2.66B |
| Year 7 | $5.36B | $2.78B |
| Year 8 | $6.15B | $2.90B |
| Year 9 | $7.05B | $3.03B |
| Year 10 | $8.09B | $3.16B |
| Terminal Value | $112.92B | $44.18B |
What Are MAR's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$371.82
EPS (TTM)
$9.57
Forward P/E
28.2
Profit Margin
35.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.1B
EBITDA
4.8B
Book Value
-$17.28
Total Debt
17.8B
What Do Analysts Say About MAR?
Low
$280.00
Average
$381.72
High
$429.00
Upside
+2.7%
MAR Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MAR?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MAR's estimated fair value is $190.49. The stock is currently trading at $371.82, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MAR's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MAR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MAR is overvalued. The current price of $371.82 is 48.8% above our estimated fair value of $190.49.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MAR?
25 analysts cover Marriott International with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $381.72, ranging from $280.00 to $429.00. This implies 2.7% upside from the current price.