What Is NCLH Fair Value?
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) has a composite fair value estimate of $14.70 based on four valuation models: DCF (0% weight), Graham Number (50% weight), PEG (50% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $15.32, suggesting the stock is fair value by 4.0%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value2 of 4 models$14.70
vs. current price of $15.32(-4.0%)
How Is NCLH Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NCLH is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NCLH Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
0% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
N/A
Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
NCLH Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
50% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$13.96
-8.9%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
50% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$15.45
+0.9%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $323.8M | $301.5M |
| Year 2 | $330.3M | $286.3M |
| Year 3 | $336.9M | $271.9M |
| Year 4 | $343.6M | $258.2M |
| Year 5 | $350.5M | $245.2M |
| Year 6 | $357.5M | $232.8M |
| Year 7 | $364.6M | $221.1M |
| Year 8 | $371.9M | $210.0M |
| Year 9 | $379.4M | $199.4M |
| Year 10 | $387.0M | $189.4M |
| Terminal Value | $8.08B | $3.96B |
What Are NCLH's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$15.32
EPS (TTM)
$1.62
Forward P/E
9.8
Profit Margin
7.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-1.7B
EBITDA
2.6B
Book Value
$5.60
Total Debt
16B
What Do Analysts Say About NCLH?
Low
$13.00
Average
$19.64
High
$32.00
Upside
+28.2%
NCLH Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NCLH?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NCLH's estimated fair value is $14.70. The stock is currently trading at $15.32, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is NCLH's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NCLH overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NCLH is fair value. The current price of $15.32 is 4.0% above our estimated fair value of $14.70.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NCLH?
25 analysts cover Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $19.64, ranging from $13.00 to $32.00. This implies 28.2% upside from the current price.