What Is NCLH Fair Value?
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) has a composite fair value estimate of $15.42 based on four valuation models: DCF (0% weight), Graham Number (50% weight), PEG (50% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $19.73, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 21.9%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued2 of 4 models$15.42
vs. current price of $19.73(-21.9%)
How Is NCLH Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NCLH is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NCLH Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
0% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
N/A
Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
NCLH Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
50% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$14.11
-28.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
50% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$16.72
-15.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $323.8M | $300.2M |
| Year 2 | $330.3M | $283.8M |
| Year 3 | $336.9M | $268.4M |
| Year 4 | $343.6M | $253.8M |
| Year 5 | $350.5M | $240.0M |
| Year 6 | $357.5M | $227.0M |
| Year 7 | $364.6M | $214.6M |
| Year 8 | $371.9M | $202.9M |
| Year 9 | $379.4M | $191.9M |
| Year 10 | $387.0M | $181.5M |
| Terminal Value | $7.39B | $3.47B |
What Are NCLH's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$19.73
EPS (TTM)
$1.26
Forward P/E
9.7
Profit Margin
5.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-1.5B
EBITDA
2.6B
Book Value
$5.30
Total Debt
16.1B
What Do Analysts Say About NCLH?
Low
$15.00
Average
$21.72
High
$32.00
Upside
+10.1%
NCLH Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NCLH?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NCLH's estimated fair value is $15.42. The stock is currently trading at $19.73, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is NCLH's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NCLH overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NCLH is overvalued. The current price of $19.73 is 21.9% above our estimated fair value of $15.42.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NCLH?
25 analysts cover Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $21.72, ranging from $15.00 to $32.00. This implies 10.1% upside from the current price.