What Is TROW Fair Value?
T. Rowe Price (TROW) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, T. Rowe Price (TROW) has a composite fair value estimate of $98.09 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $118.58, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 17.3%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$98.09
vs. current price of $118.58(-17.3%)
How Is TROW Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what TROW is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
TROW Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$93.42
-21.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$49.42
-58.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
TROW Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$107.13
-9.7%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$101.70
-14.2%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $118.58 is 21.2% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.94B | $1.73B |
| Year 2 | $2.01B | $1.59B |
| Year 3 | $2.08B | $1.46B |
| Year 4 | $2.15B | $1.34B |
| Year 5 | $2.22B | $1.23B |
| Year 6 | $2.30B | $1.13B |
| Year 7 | $2.37B | $1.04B |
| Year 8 | $2.45B | $950.9M |
| Year 9 | $2.54B | $873.2M |
| Year 10 | $2.62B | $801.8M |
| Terminal Value | $26.67B | $8.16B |
What Are TROW's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$118.58
EPS (TTM)
$9.52
Forward P/E
11.4
Profit Margin
28.3%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.9B
EBITDA
2.9B
Book Value
$50.16
Total Debt
459.6M
What Do Analysts Say About TROW?
Low
$86.00
Average
$110.08
High
$124.00
Upside
-7.2%
TROW Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of TROW?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), TROW's estimated fair value is $98.09. The stock is currently trading at $118.58, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is TROW's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is TROW overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, TROW is overvalued. The current price of $118.58 is 17.3% above our estimated fair value of $98.09.
What do Wall Street analysts say about TROW?
12 analysts cover T. Rowe Price with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $110.08, ranging from $86.00 to $124.00. This implies 7.2% downside from the current price.