What Is VMC Fair Value?
Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) has a composite fair value estimate of $158.64 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $274.51, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 42.2%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$158.64
vs. current price of $274.51(-42.2%)
How Is VMC Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what VMC is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
VMC Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$190.03
-30.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$97.10
-64.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
VMC Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$116.09
-57.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$147.23
-46.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $274.51 is 30.8% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $979.3M | $894.0M |
| Year 2 | $1.14B | $947.4M |
| Year 3 | $1.32B | $1.00B |
| Year 4 | $1.53B | $1.06B |
| Year 5 | $1.78B | $1.13B |
| Year 6 | $2.06B | $1.19B |
| Year 7 | $2.40B | $1.27B |
| Year 8 | $2.78B | $1.34B |
| Year 9 | $3.23B | $1.42B |
| Year 10 | $3.75B | $1.51B |
| Terminal Value | $54.58B | $21.95B |
What Are VMC's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$274.51
EPS (TTM)
$8.51
Forward P/E
25.5
Profit Margin
13.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
843.6M
EBITDA
2.3B
Book Value
$65.42
Total Debt
4.9B
What Do Analysts Say About VMC?
Low
$198.00
Average
$325.74
High
$365.00
Upside
+18.7%
VMC Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of VMC?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), VMC's estimated fair value is $158.64. The stock is currently trading at $274.51, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is VMC's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is VMC overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, VMC is overvalued. The current price of $274.51 is 42.2% above our estimated fair value of $158.64.
What do Wall Street analysts say about VMC?
23 analysts cover Vulcan Materials Company with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $325.74, ranging from $198.00 to $365.00. This implies 18.7% upside from the current price.