What Is VMC Fair Value?
Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) has a composite fair value estimate of $154.67 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $289.11, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 46.5%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$154.67
vs. current price of $289.11(-46.5%)
How Is VMC Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what VMC is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
VMC Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$179.71
-37.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$98.74
-65.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
VMC Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$116.00
-59.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$147.45
-49.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $289.11 is 37.8% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $937.5M | $856.1M |
| Year 2 | $1.09B | $907.6M |
| Year 3 | $1.26B | $962.2M |
| Year 4 | $1.47B | $1.02B |
| Year 5 | $1.70B | $1.08B |
| Year 6 | $1.98B | $1.15B |
| Year 7 | $2.30B | $1.22B |
| Year 8 | $2.66B | $1.29B |
| Year 9 | $3.09B | $1.37B |
| Year 10 | $3.59B | $1.45B |
| Terminal Value | $52.55B | $21.19B |
What Are VMC's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$289.11
EPS (TTM)
$8.36
Forward P/E
26.8
Profit Margin
13.8%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
244.4M
EBITDA
2.4B
Book Value
$65.28
Total Debt
5.2B
What Do Analysts Say About VMC?
Low
$198.00
Average
$326.55
High
$365.00
Upside
+12.9%
VMC Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of VMC?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), VMC's estimated fair value is $154.67. The stock is currently trading at $289.11, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is VMC's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is VMC overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, VMC is overvalued. The current price of $289.11 is 46.5% above our estimated fair value of $154.67.
What do Wall Street analysts say about VMC?
22 analysts cover Vulcan Materials Company with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $326.55, ranging from $198.00 to $365.00. This implies 12.9% upside from the current price.